The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.03.05

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2063
  • Prev Close: 1.1971
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.76%

The European currency fell sharply after Jerome Powell's comments on Treasury yields. The pair dropped to the lows of February. The spread in credit markets rose sharply in favor of the dollar, indicating an increased likelihood of a continuation of the southern trend.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1952, 1.1799
  • Resistance levels: 1.2113, 1.2179

The main scenario for EUR/USD is selling. The ADX showed a significant reaction to the decline. However, the oscillator did not reach the oversold zone. This indicates a likely continuation of the fall.

Alternative scenario: if the price manages to gain a foothold above the level of 1.2043, the pair may return to growth to 1.2113.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.03.05:
  • – The United States Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – The US Unemployment Rate (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3948
  • Prev Close: 1.3890
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.42%

For the sterling, the situation does not look as bearish as for the euro. The pair is far from the February lows, and the price has remained in the weekly range. This indicates the presence of bulls in GBP/USD. However, the yield spread fundamentals indicate medium-term downward pressure on the pair.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3857, 1.3775
  • Resistance levels: 1.3997, 1.4224

The main scenario for GBP/USD is cautious selling. The ADX showed a weak reaction to Thursday's bearish momentum. But since the price is fixed below the moving averages, and the MACD is below zero, selling becomes relevant. A stronger signal to sell will be received if the price fixes below 1.3857.

Alternative scenario: if the pair consolidates above 1.3997, it may resume its growth.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2021.03.05:
  • – The United States Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – The US Unemployment Rate (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 106.99
  • Prev Close: 107.96
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.91%

Despite the fall in risky assets, the dollar-yen pair showed a sharp rise following the dollar index. At the same time, a significant acceleration is observed on the graph. All technical and fundamental data indicates a reversal of the pair in the long term.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 105.50, 104.92
  • Resistance levels: 109.34, 109.86

The main scenario is buying. In the short term, the pair may roll back as the ADX has entered the short-term overbought area on the H1 and H4 timeframes. The daily chart shows only the beginning of the northerly movement. In this light, selling on expectations of a correction is dangerous.

An alternative scenario implies the price-fixing below 107.37. In this case, the pair may return to a decline to 105.50.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2021.03.05:
  • – The United States Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – The US Unemployment Rate (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2652
  • Prev Close: 1.2663
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.09%

The Canadian dollar is the only currency in the G10 group that shows the minimum decline against the dollar. Initially, the pair declined amid a sharp rise in oil prices. But the comments of the Fed chairman brought the price back to the opening of the day, and a bullish engulfing candlestick formed on the daily timeframe.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2592, 1.2467
  • Resistance levels: 1.2745, 1.2763

The main scenario is trading in the sideways range 1.2673 – 1.2592. The ADX stopped reacting after quick movements in both directions. The MACD is near zero and the price is at the crossover of the moving averages. The overall result is more neutral with a slight northern priority.

Alternative scenario: if the price manages to gain a foothold above 1.2673, the pair may resume growth to 1.2745. A breakdown of 1.2592 will strengthen the southern movement.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2021.03.05:
  • – The United States Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – The US Unemployment Rate (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) in Canada (Feb) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

by Justforex, 2021.03.05

We recommend you to get acquainted with the daily overview of the news feed.

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Open Account

Get Free Analytics

* required fields
Last Articles
All Articles
10 most stable forex pairs to trade in 2021
If you are interested in forex but have never tried trading before, sooner or later, you come across the question of what currency pair is safe to trade so that you don’t lose half of your deposit on your first position. And the answer is as simple as can be, the safest currency pairs are the most stable ones. Read on to learn which currency pairs are the best to start your trading journey.
Read more
Best Gold Trading Tips For Beginners
Gold is one of the most popular assets traded worldwide by investors, funds, and speculators who aim to profit from the price fluctuations or stand up against inflation. Unfortunately, many market participants fail to catch the wave and take full advantage of what the gold market can offer due to the lack of knowledge and experience. Are you planning to become the next gold trader? Learn how to trade gold in the most profitable way.
Read more
How to Become a Successful Forex Trader in Malaysia
With broad access to online brokerage services, everyone can become a trader these days. However, few people actually find success in FX. The reason might be that many of those who try trading skip some essential steps or simply do things wrong. Learn about the best ways to become a currency trader in Malaysia from this article.
Read more